Showing posts with label CIA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CIA. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

A LOOK AT CHUCK HAGEL AND JOHN BRENNAN : OBAMA'S PENTAGON AND CIA NOMINEES


Chuck Hagel: Nominee, Secretary of Defense

Having Chuck Hagel (age: 66), an Obama confidante, at the head of the Pentagon is intended largely to provide political cover to end combat operations in Afghanistan and to begin to implement deep Pentagon budget cuts.

Hagel is chair of the Atlantic Council and member of Obama’s Intelligence Advisory Board. He was formerly a Republican senator from Nebraska (1997-2009) and head of an investment banking firm. A two-time Purple Heart recipient, he would be the first Vietnam veteran to serve as Secretary of Defense. Hagel is known – and disparaged by many Republicans – for his independence vis-à-vis party orthodoxy on foreign policy issues and for holding views considered to be views outside of the conservative mainstream (ex. opposition to Iraq troop surge). Indeed, the vivid battle over his nomination has already begun among prominent Republicans, neoconservatives, Democrats, and pro-Israeli groups.

Opposition to Hagel is tri-fold. He has encountered major criticism for past statements about the pro-Israel lobby”: “[It] intimidates a lot of people around here. I havealways argued against some of the dumb things they do because I don't thinkit's [...] smart for Israel.” He has refused to add his signature to letters circulated around DC by AIPAC. Although Hagel has considerably better relations with other arms of said lobby (J-Street, Israel Policy Forum), and the support of heavyweights like Zbigniew BrzezinskiBrent Scowcroft, and most former US ambassadors to Israel, hardliners believe he will antagonize Israel. And to the contrary of the president, Hagel opposes sanctions against Iran, favors negotiations with Hamas and Iran, and has criticized the largesse of America’s defense spending.

Democratic opposition to Hagel centers mainly around a negative remark made about a gay colleague a decade ago. He has since apologized for the comment and has publicly stated his support for openly gay military service.

That Hagel personally knows war and has shown no reserve in expressing his reluctance to go to war may well have an impact abroad (US approach to Iran, willingness to align with Israel’s policies) as well as “at home” (increased attention to returned soldiers).

It is thought that Democrats will ultimately support the President’s choice and that Republicans will find it difficult to confront the potential backlash of opposing a decorated Vietnam War hero. But if Hagel wins a bitter nomination fight, Republicans may consider him weak and show less flexibility in cutting a deal to prevent the sequester from taking effect in late February.



John Brennan: Nominee, Director of CIA

Current Deputy NSA for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism and close confidante of Obama, John Brennan (age: 57) is a career CIA agent who has been party to nearly every national security question issue in the Obama administration (including the raid on Bin Laden). Brennan was considered for the job of CIA director in 2008, but withdrew his name for consideration after facing accusations over past public support for “enhanced interrogation techniques” and sending prisoners to countries where torture might occur. Detractors insist that as a high-ranking official inBush’ CIA, Brennan condoned tactics like waterboarding that are considered torturous. In 2009, he condemned such practices.

A primary question elicited by this pick is whether the CIA will maintain, reinforce even, its current place at the heart of counter-terror operations, or if Brennan will usher it back to its traditional espionage capacities.

During his 25 years at the CIA, Brennan exercised a wide variety of functions, including the post of station chief in Saudi Arabia. Following his time in government, Brennan was head of a security consultancy, The Analysis Corporation, as well as chair of the Intelligence and National Security Alliance, and the director of the National Counterterrorism Center. Brennan speaks fluent Arabic.

Related Reading
Obama’s Nominations of Hagel and Brennan Signal Course Adjustments at Pentagon and CIA (WaPo)
Brennan Pick Revives Leaks Dispute (Politico)

photo credits: Associated Press

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

OBAMA'S DRONE POLICY: COUNTERPRODUCTIVE COUNTERTERRORISM? NEW STRATEGIC SHIFT NEEDED?

As President Obama continues escalation of the "Predator Wars" and seeks to increase purchases of drone technology in the fight against terrorism, Marc Thiessen of Foreign Policy argues that Obama's devotion to this program is both irresponsible and costly for American security interests.

Sure, drone attacks have proven successful in killing senior al Qaeda leaders throughout the world. And the mere use of these planes carries an undeniable psychological impact on terrorist leaders and their recruits. But Obama chose to rely more heavily on drone warfare at the very moment he stripped the CIA of its ability to capture and question these leaders. By tipping the scales of the security-values continuum too far towards values, Obama has in fact sacrificed both - despite their precision, drones also kill scores of innocent civilians while also eliminating the terrorists best-placed to divulge information about future attacks and the would-be attackers.

So while Obama appears tough on terror by killing key leaders, his lopsided approach is potentially more damaging than would be implementing a wise combination of drone attacks coupled with human intelligence-gathering efforts. As one high-ranking CIA official was quoted in the FP piece: "You can't kill them all, and you don't want to kill them all from an intelligence standpoint. We needed to know what they knew."

As Obama's presidency enters its second year, Americans and the world are awaiting delivery of the changes he promised. Discontentment with the Obama presidency has been mounting as evaluations of his early policies begin filtering in - among those policies, the troubling consequences of a continued over-reliance on drones.

Secretary Clinton insisted that the president's first year was focused on laying the groundwork for change. But the well-connected and highly-regarded Edward Luce at FT and Steve Clemons of Washington Note (among others) contend, based on close access to the White House players, that Obama's excessively narrow inner circle and its unwillingness to listen seriously to outsiders (including Obama's cabinet) has led the president on a failing course.

Will Obama show courage and honestly appraise his dwindling trajectory and make the staffing shake-ups necessary to inject innovative reflection on these most contentious policy frontiers?

- Amy Greene

Monday, January 12, 2009

POTUS WATCH - RECENT APPOINTMENTS

Please find the third installment of POTUS Watch, this time compiling an analytical overview of the most recent Obama appointments in all domains, with no specific thematic core linking them.

Potus Watch, Recent Various Appointments

-Amy